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Low birth rate and having an aging population are becoming a phenomenon in many developed countries. Hong Kong is no exception. The city's fertility rate has fallen to being the lowest in the world, with an average of only 0.9 children delivered per woman during her lifetime! On the other hand, medical advancement has been working well in terms of prolonging life expectancy and improving mortality rate.

Demographically speaking, the 42-46 age group, born between 1958 and 1962, accounts for the majority of Hong Kong's population. People falling under this dominant age group will have turned 60 between 2016 and 2021. It is projected that by 2026, some 2.5 million people will be over the age of 60.

Most economists agree that an aging population could put a dent in future economic growth. In the long run, public expenditure will have to be borne by lesser proportion of the population. As the work force shrinks, recruiting new talents will become increasingly difficult. To resolve this, we will have to expand our pool of seasoned workers, either by extending their retirement age or relaxing gender barrier in some traditionally male-dominated industries. Productivity improvement will also help ease shortage of skilled workers.

There are many ways to human resources imbalance, leveraging IT and automation, deferring retirement age and boosting productivity are some of them. To retain our valuable employees, we may have to outsource some of our labor-intensive processes to low-wage regions such as Southern China, or provide attractive retirement packages.

In the developed world, more goods and services are now making their way into the elderly markets, where business opportunities abound. Last year, the Hong Kong Housing Society launched the Senior Citizen Residences Scheme (SEN), which allowed the elderly to live in their own housing units permanently and for free after paying a lump sum entry contribution. Though the entry payment was by no means trivial, the scheme was well received by the local middle class elderly, demonstrating their desire for a decent mode of living.

The increase in the number of senior citizens presents new opportunities for a variety of product manufacturers and service providers. In recent years, the market for health food, medication, anti-aging products all witnessed significant growth. In fact, more and more product designers are taking the needs of the elderly into consideration, as evidenced by the introduction of products labeled with larger fonts to compensate for presbyopia. Supermarkets are now offering discounts to senior citizens; travel agents are making brisk business in cruise packages for the elderly; and banks promote financial products with long-term care and insurance. On the other hand, clinics offer special health maintenance package for the elderly, including annual dental and medical checkup, physiotherapy, nursing, yoga and even rehabilitation services.

Without doubt, people would demand better and quality services when they are coming of age. Information Technology can act as catalyst in the delivery of personalized services, while helping service providers save on operating costs.

Information technology also works for the elderly in different ways. In the US, older people brush up on their computer skills and get online to feel a sense of belonging. They stay mentally active by using computers to pursue their interests, look for useful information or build online support group. According to a study by a research organization, the number of Internet users among Americans over 65 years old jumped by 47 percent since 2000, making them the fastest-growing group to embrace the online world (Note 1). Not surprisingly, Japan and European countries also report similar trends. As the number of old people who are more educated and comfortable with computers increases, the percentage of seniors staying online would soar. Over time, the online marketplace for the elderly will mature.

(Last updated: 18th March, 2005)

Note 1: New York Times, 25 March 2004, Technology section, "For Some Internet Users, It's Better Late Than Never"

 

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